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US election pollsters get predictions wrong by underestimating white turnout in rural areas | Daily Mail Online

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How How did the pollsters get it so wrong? They underestimated white turnout in rural areas and overestimated black and millennial voters

  • Until the eleventh hour predictions were that Hillary had an 85 percent chance of winning the election
  • Even Tuesday’s exit poll had Clinton winning almost everywhere at 5 p.m.
  • Trump supporters claim the speculators got it wrong because of partisan bias after the Republican won a stunning victory
  • ‘People have been told that they have to be embarrassed to support Donald Trump, even in a telephone poll,’ says consultant Frank McCarthy
  • Of all major national surveys, the LA Times and IBD/TIPP tracking polls were the only two to call a Trump victory  
  • Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight – which correctly called the last two elections – forecast a 66 per cent likelihood that Clinton will take the White House
  • CBS, ABC/Washington Post, Bloomberg, Rasmussen, Monmouth University and NBC News/Survey Monkey all got it wrong 

Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3919098/Pollsters-kicking-getting-predictions-wrong-underestimating-white-turnout-rural-areas-overestimating-black-millennial-voters.html#ixzz4PWi9j0ei
Follow us: @MailOnline on Twitter | DailyMail on Facebookntil the eleventh hour predictions were that Hillary had an 85 percent chance of winning the election. Even Tuesday’s exit poll had Clinton winning almost everywhere at 5 p.m.

Source: US election pollsters get predictions wrong by underestimating white turnout in rural areas | Daily Mail Online

Sunshine and proposals at finishing line on record day – Independent.ie

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A view of the start of the Dublin MarathonA view of the Dublin Marathon as runners make there way down Fitzwilliam Street Upper

A view of the Dublin Marathon as runners make there way down Fitzwilliam Street Upper

Peter Joseph Singhatey, from Dublin, gets some help at the end. Photos: Damien Eagers

Under glorious blue skies, 19,500 runners took advantage of Ireland’s Indian summer yesterday to compete in the Dublin City Marathon.

Now the fourth largest marathon in Europe, a record number of runners wound their way through the capital, with approximately 17,000 crossing the finishing line at Merrion Square.

Exhausted runners were given a hero’s welcome by family, friends and supporters at the finish line and were presented with a special medal commemorating the centenary of the 1916 Rising and the 37th annual run.

Among the competitors, aged between 18 and 86, it was a triumvirate of Ethiopians who crossed the finish line in record time.

Read more: Up to 17,000 turn out for Dublin marathon spectacular

Source: Sunshine and proposals at finishing line on record day – Independent.ie

The 5 Most Common Checkride Failures For Private Pilots | Boldmethod

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Checkrides can be scary, especially your first one. But there’s good news: a lot of other people have taken them, and you can learn from their mistakes.

Source: The 5 Most Common Checkride Failures For Private Pilots | Boldmethod

1. Weather.  Who loves weather reports and forecasts? Not too many people. Unfortunately, you’ll need to know it all. METARs and TAFs aren’t so bad, but when you start digging into AIRMETs, Winds Aloft forecasts and Area Forecasts, things can get ugly. Need some help getting prepped on weather for your examiner? We can help with this one too.

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Rat Meat (Diks), a Cure for Hypertension? | Daily Observer

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Rat, locally called Diks, is said to be a very good local medicine for High Blood Pressure, even though most medical Doctors said they cannot confirm that claim.

We have heard many testimonies from friends and relatives that rat meat is effective for the treatment of high blood pressure; with some claiming that they have found it to be an effective palliative for arthritis. Some people from local communities have confirmed to us that the animal is a very powerful medicine for High Blood Pressure. They also told us that it has for long been used as good medicine by their forefathers, and is still benefiting them as well in various aspects.

Some people have even said that Medical Research Council MRC (Gambia Office) buys and uses ‘diks’ as a major element to cure High blood Pressure and probably other diseases. Observer Light went to the offices of the MRC in Fajara in an attempt to shed light on this matter; but the advanced health facility made it crystal clear that it has never gone into buying and using rats as a medicine to cure any disease.

 

by Modou Lamin Jammeh

Source: Rat Meat (Diks), a Cure for Hypertension? | Daily Observer

iPads in the classroom – transforming education or unnecessary distraction? – BelfastTelegraph.co.uk

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For the past eight months, my teenage son has been required to use an iPad for some schoolwork and much of his homework. And it seems he’s not the only one; tablets are now commonplace in schools and some schools are starting to insist all pupils have one.

But there’s been little debate about this new development. And that’s why the ATL teaching union commissioned a major survey on tablets in the classroom.

A total of 376 parents and teachers from across Northern Ireland responded and there was a clear consensus on a number of issues.

Most (78%) believed tablets do have at least some educational value in the classroom, but there was widespread concern about certain significant potential drawbacks.

Some 82% of respondents were worried about the ‘distraction factor’ if pupils were expected to use tablets for homework; will children diligently do their homework when they can check messages or play games on the same devices?

But perhaps the most alarming finding related to child protection; 64% of teaching staff who had educational experience of using tablets felt there was a risk that pupils might access inappropriate material when the devices were used in the classroom.

Some schools are starting to ask or require parents to pay for tablets or other digital devices. Most respondents (71%) firmly opposed any move to make parents pay on the grounds that not all families can afford the cost.

Indeed, a large majority of respondents (81%) wanted official guidance on the use of tablets in schools – so perhaps that can be one of the first tasks for our incoming Education Minister.

So where do parents and schools stand?

Source: iPads in the classroom – transforming education or unnecessary distraction? – BelfastTelegraph.co.uk

Roots festival participants pay homage to Kunta Kinteh’s village – The Point Newspaper, Banjul, The Gambia

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International and national participants of the ongoing International Roots Festival on Monday visited Kunta Kinteh Island in Juffureh, the native village of the most famous Gambian slave, Kunta Kinteh.

The participants visited the slave museum where most of the materials used by the slaves during the slavery days are being kept for posterity.

Kunta Kinteh Island, formerly known as James Island, was a place where thousands of slaves departed from to various parts of America or the West Indies.

 

Source: Roots festival participants pay homage to Kunta Kinteh’s village – The Point Newspaper, Banjul, The Gambia

7 Things Every Pilot Learns During Instrument Training | Boldmethod

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There’s nothing like popping out of the clouds, at minimums, right above the runway. Training toward your instrument rating not only makes you a safer, more confident pilot, but lets you use the full capability of the national airspace system.

Here are 7 things that you’ll learn during instrument training…

Source: 7 Things Every Pilot Learns During Instrument Training | Boldmethod

Obesity is the new smoking – soon governments will be forced to tackle it in the same way | Irish Examiner

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News that the global food company will advise consumers to eat certain products only “occasionally” plays havoc with the jingle that has earned its spot in the advertising slogan Hall of Fame. (Hands up all of you who can still hum the “Mars a day helps you work, rest, and play” tune that brought TV ads to life from 1959 to 1995?) Though – and here’s the unsettling bit — Mars Food isn’t telling us to eat Mars bars or indeed its Snickers bars, M&Ms, or Maltesers occasionally. It is, in fact, admitting that its pasta products and sauces — food we are likely to put on our daily dinner tables — should carry what amounts to a health warning. There’s been a rush to laud the food giant for the move, but I must be missing the point. Doesn’t anybody find it astounding that a food manufacturer is actually warning us about eating its food? You might expect to hear that its confectionery is high in sugar, salt and fat but the fact that Mars is admitting that Dolmio — “When’s your Dolmio day”, indeed? — and other sauces should be eaten, at most, once a week is hair-raising.

How did we end up here, in a world where our daily bread, so to speak, has to come with a label telling us not to eat it too often?…

Source: Obesity is the new smoking – soon governments will be forced to tackle it in the same way | Irish Examiner

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